Description

This analysis provides a forecast of ATOM prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-03-23 3.554496 3.961488 4.403362 4.919918 5.508684 6.160546 6.939233
2025-03-30 2.962295 3.506036 4.139400 4.936172 5.918039 7.096504 8.630154
2025-04-06 2.561139 3.167005 3.910203 4.898001 6.190038 7.841432 10.142397
2025-04-13 2.184098 2.791628 3.566775 4.641683 6.114816 8.094200 11.008854
2025-04-20 1.991522 2.621513 3.454114 4.653897 6.369994 8.785397 12.532341
2025-04-27 1.864869 2.520657 3.415390 4.750771 6.737820 9.658754 14.419765
2025-05-04 1.757613 2.432796 3.380814 4.841674 7.095911 10.546267 16.438923
2025-05-11 1.654464 2.339269 3.325949 4.891139 7.388158 11.355837 18.435224
2025-05-18 1.561097 2.250594 3.267855 4.925440 7.653325 12.143392 20.496448
2025-05-25 1.435596 2.103191 3.107690 4.781582 7.609319 12.405216 21.652910
2025-06-01 1.344834 2.001505 3.008852 4.725148 7.701112 12.902578 23.304093
2025-06-08 1.267593 1.914898 2.926275 4.686366 7.815814 13.447531 25.118373
2025-06-15 1.239087 1.905125 2.968683 4.867038 8.345742 14.831627 28.873874
2025-06-22 1.174941 1.833124 2.903370 4.854637 8.522613 15.570862 31.417208
2025-06-29 1.111144 1.757128 2.825298 4.811597 8.635597 16.195841 33.815623
2025-07-06 1.017067 1.624375 2.641072 4.559481 8.318969 15.911934 34.095666
2025-07-13 0.974758 1.576902 2.601238 4.571233 8.522771 16.731486 37.114444
2025-07-20 0.948734 1.555618 2.605593 4.666053 8.902929 17.974659 41.403476
2025-07-27 0.923488 1.533897 2.607246 4.755054 9.279498 19.258589 46.054822
2025-08-03 0.894097 1.502846 2.589439 4.803483 9.573908 20.393549 50.544493
2025-08-10 0.864646 1.469817 2.565516 4.837066 9.838660 21.493405 55.170650
2025-08-17 0.814700 1.396467 2.460928 4.696212 9.698150 21.592465 56.918220
2025-08-24 0.778925 1.347400 2.399673 4.640952 9.747218 22.168003 60.216029